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Sea Intelligence
- Global schedule reliability records 2 consecutive M/M increases
- USTR versus Transpacific niche carriers
- Transpacific blank sailings rise rapidly
- Substantial blank sailings on Transpacific
- Gemini shuttles operating at 98% in February
- Major East-West Capacity Growth
- New carrier alliances launch with record schedule reliability
- 2024 profitability around USD 60 billion
- Continued strong container demand
- Is Africa the next major expansion point?
- Volume shift from East to West Coast in 2024-2H
- 2024 global schedule reliability trend continuing in 2025
- Post-Red Sea: Major demand drop in Asia-Europe
- World trade growth revised down for 2025-26
- Shift in alliance market shares
- 2024 schedule reliability largely within 50%-55%
- Retail inventories continue sharp growth
- Connectivity increases benefit major ports
- CNY 2025: Expect more blanks on Asia-NAWC
- Marked improvement in schedule reliability in November 2024
- Offered port-pairs by carrier alliances (2017-2024)
- Alliance schedule reliability (2017-2024)
- Alliance capacity market share (2017-2024)
- Global schedule reliability improves marginally in October 2024
- 2024-Q3 major carrier EBIT up 600% Y/Y
- 2024: Reliability Performance for global carriers
- No increase in US spending growth
- Global schedule reliability drops to 51.4% in September 2024
- Strong increase in retail inventories
- Vessel bunching on the increase
- Sharply worsening trade imbalances
- USEC port strike: 10-17% capacity decline to come
- Schedule reliability dips slightly M/M in January 2023
- Who fuels the price war?
- Strong capacity correction on Asia-NAWC
- Asia-Europe capacity correction not as strong as on TP
- Capacity loss nearing pre-pandemic normal
- USD 95bn carrier EBIT in 2022 (so far…)
- Sharp M/M increase in schedule reliability in February 2023
- 2022-Q4 EBIT drops 46% (USD 15bn) Y/Y
- Shifts in diversity in carriers’ reliability
- IMF: Germany & UK enter recession in 2023
- Selecting services based on schedule reliability
- Volume contraction slowing in NAWC ports
- Schedule reliability continues to increase in March 2023
- 2023-Q1 reliability rises close to pre-pandemic levels
- 35% added pressure on US port capacity
- Continuing US inventory problem
- Schedule reliability improvements slowing down
- Pacific small carrier share normalized